By Mark Burles
This document examines the root of China's rules towards Russia and the 5 republics of imperative Asia, identifies the mix of concerns and environmental stipulations more likely to form the regulations' evolution, and assesses their strength influence on local or worldwide U.S. pursuits. After discussing why China has better its kinfolk with Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, the document describes the pursuits of chinese language regulations towards those international locations, highlighting the big variety of concerns and pursuits concerned. The file subsequent examines the clients for Sino-Russian and Sino-Central Asian relatives, and the way the advance of those kinfolk could have an effect on U.S. pursuits. China's relationships with the relevant Asia Republics pose fewer capability difficulties for U.S. pursuits than does its dating with Russia. there's little hazard of China dominating the area in a way that may limit U.S. entry to power assets.
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Extra resources for Chinese policy toward Russia and the Central Asian Republics
Research is performed in three programs: Strategy and Doctrine, Force Modernization and Employment, and Resource Management and System Acquisition. S. Interests 61 Bibliography 65 Page vii Figures 1. Asia 2 2. Xinjiang and Central Asia 7 3. Sino-Russian Trade, 19921997 13 4. Sino-Central Asian Trade, 19921997 20 5. China's Top Ten Trading Partners, 1997 21 6. China's Top Ten Trading Partners as a Percentage of Total Trade, 1997 22 7. Rail Links and Proposed Pipeline Routes from Central Asia and Russia to China 24 8.
27 More recently, China and Russia included Mongolia in an agreement to increase trade and cooperation among the three countries' rail networks. 28 A similar expansion of links occurred along China's Central Asian border, perhaps the most significant being the opening of the Urumqi-Almaty rail-line in 1992. This rail-line not only gives the various states of Central Asia access to China's domestic market and eastern ports, but also opens a potentially important overland route between China and Europe and the Middle East.
158. 41 Although China and Russia can resolve these problems over time, they limit the prospects for dramatic increases in Sino-Russian or Sino-Central Asian trade in the near term. The potential for growth in trade between China and Russia and China and Central Asia is also limited by the weaknesses inherent in the Russian and Central Asian economies. Russia's economy, for example, is of moderate size, but has experienced massive dislocation since 1991 and continues to face severe challenges in its tran-sition to a market-based economy.
Chinese policy toward Russia and the Central Asian Republics by Mark Burles